Diary of a Financier

Archive for the ‘Capital Markets’ Category

SPY update: Bounce off support with target @ 201.8

In Capital Markets on Wed 24 Feb 2016 at 18:09

On the heels of the outlook we posted yesterday, SPY has traded in perfect accordance with the technicals discussed therein. Here’s an update as of today’s close… Read the rest of this entry »

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SPY intraday update: ST & LT outlook

In Capital Markets on Tue 23 Feb 2016 at 12:26

Our last market update nailed the bottom in SPY (and the catalysts, so it seems). I wanted to update the outlook as the market’s rally from its correction lows continues to wear on… Read the rest of this entry »

Bull v. Bear: Checklist edition

In Capital Markets, Dissertation on Thu 21 Jan 2016 at 11:14

I wanted to crystallize my S&P 500 ($SPX) outlook in another edition of Bull vs. Bear, after I downgraded the market to NEUTRAL amidst the rally in December… Read the rest of this entry »

SPY update: Downgrading to NEUTRAL

In Capital Markets on Thu 3 Dec 2015 at 16:40

After witnessing two consecutive, material intraday selloffs, I wanted to crystallize my S&P 500 ($SPX) outlook… Read the rest of this entry »

SPY update: One more seasonal swoon before YE rally

In Capital Markets on Tue 10 Nov 2015 at 17:35

Just wanted to update what I’m seeing in the S&P 500 this week, as well as my outlook… Read the rest of this entry »

CNY FX crosses: Yuan rally resumes, posing a threat to global risk

In Capital Markets, Economics on Mon 9 Nov 2015 at 14:58

Wanted to update my outlook for Chinese Renminbi’s ($CNY) major FX crosses, because the Yuan itself has rallied hard over the last week… Read the rest of this entry »

Intraday update: Technical rally to fade

In Capital Markets on Thu 8 Oct 2015 at 11:56

SPY (199.3 currently) has followed the pattern I expected per my last update yesterday.  After slipping this morning, SPY’s rallied back into the early afternoon.  This is a ST undulation in accordance with ST technical patterns, and it will fade, yielding to the primary, bearish patterns en force… Read the rest of this entry »

Intraday update: SPY at resistance, to retest correction lows

In Capital Markets on Wed 7 Oct 2015 at 11:11

My last update nailed SPY’s intraday reversal, its subsequent (1st) support, and the ensuing rally.  Now, SPY has reached my “target 1st resistance ~199.5 (+4.2% fm current), which is the 15min LT H&S top’s R shoulder,” and therefore I expect a reversal lower starting right nowRead the rest of this entry »

Intraday update: SPY downward reversal coming

In Capital Markets on Thu 1 Oct 2015 at 14:40

SPY is meandering so far this week, but it’s maintaining the course I laid-out in my last update – even nailing the interim bottom formed on Monday. Read the rest of this entry »

Attention: The correction is now average

In Capital Markets on Thu 1 Oct 2015 at 11:49

The current S&P 500 correction is average!  Actually, it’s more than average; technically, it’s extra-ordinary… Read the rest of this entry »