Diary of a Financier

Posts Tagged ‘Bullish’

SPY update: Bounce off support with target @ 201.8

In Capital Markets on Wed 24 Feb 2016 at 18:09

On the heels of the outlook we posted yesterday, SPY has traded in perfect accordance with the technicals discussed therein. Here’s an update as of today’s close… Read the rest of this entry »


Squawk Box (January 19 – February 1)

In Trading Desk on Sat 31 Jan 2015 at 05:49

Here’s my weekly “trade & thought reconciliation”… Read the rest of this entry »

Chart updates: S&P and Russell

In Capital Markets on Wed 22 Oct 2014 at 15:46

Quick intraday chart updates for the S&P 500 ($SPY) and Russell 2000 ($IWM), just before the close today.  Basically, some 15-minute, tilted H&S bottoms are precipitating a downdraft in the broader recovery, which should bounce off a bottom before this weekend…

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The most important post on Europe you’ll read this year

In Capital Markets, Economics on Thu 9 Oct 2014 at 17:24

There’s a lot of bad news being thrown at the market right now.  Most of it is of the garden variety, those constant fixtures in the everpresent wall-of-worry.  Euroskeptics are perhaps the loudest of the lot right now.  This ilk is framing a much different narrative for Europe than objectively exists, but they’ve managed to talk-down European markets — not to mention the rest of the world.  ‘Uncertainty is the mother of opportunity’ (or something like that), and there’s a particularly attractive entry point in European equities right now.  We are buying Europe ($HEDJ)…

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Small cap buying opportunity

In Capital Markets, Trading Desk on Tue 23 Sep 2014 at 10:08

I’ve been monitoring the internal correction, which has Small Caps ($IWM) -2.5% ytd with the average stock in the Russell 3000 ($IWV) in a full-blown bear market — despite Large Caps ($IWB) being +8% ytd.  My multidisciplinary analysis yields a buy signal for IWM… Read the rest of this entry »

Bull v. Bear

In Capital Markets on Wed 16 Jul 2014 at 15:57

I’ve spent considerable time synthesizing all of the information I’ve consumed since my last “Bull v. Bear” entry, and enough has changed for me to render a new, timely, cogent market opinion.  The following signals-through-the-noise attempt to substantiate an objective, data-driven narrative that can guide me through the equity market over the coming days, weeks, months, and quarter…

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Q1 GDP & financial crisis recoveries in context

In Economics, Idiosyncrasy on Mon 30 Jun 2014 at 10:06

I just couldn’t resist chiming-in this weekend after I saw Yves Smith (Naked Capitalism) highlight some remarks by UMass Amherst’s Professor Robert Pollin.  Mr. Pollin explains the weak 2014q1 GDP growth rate (-2.9%) as a microcosm of the entire postcrisis recovery:

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Bull v. Bear: Bubble checklist edition

In Capital Markets on Mon 23 Jun 2014 at 08:51

In this exercise today, I wanted to leverage another great checklist Barry Ritholtz (The Big Picture) likes to utilize.  Barry tracks 14 bubble indicators to objectively identify exuberance/euphoria before a market crash.  To wit, I thought I’d quickly evaluate each to give myself an appraisal of the stock market’s secular standing…

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Japanese breakout to resume

In Capital Markets on Fri 23 May 2014 at 10:42

I just updated my technical analysis of Japanese capital markets, but we’re on the brink of a major resumption in the rally prompted by Abenomics, so this deserves its own entry…

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Top Newsstuffs (April 14-20)

In Bookshelf on Sun 20 Apr 2014 at 07:53

Patriots Day means Marathon Monday, still my favorite holiday…

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